– General Secretary of the Norwegian Atlantic Committee Kate Hansen Punt says they are entering government anyway.
On Sunday, a historic election will take place in Germany. First, Angela Merkel will take over the reins after 16 years as president of Germany. Second, the formation of a government seems to depend entirely on having three parties to obtain the required majority for the first time in the post-war period.
Third, the Social Democrats (SPD) are blowing strong winds on their boats and can win elections for the first time in 20 years. Thus, it now looks like Merkel’s party (Christian Democrats), led by Armin Lachett, will end up outside government offices after the election.
According to a recent YouGov poll, SPD has 25 percent support. The Christian Democrats make up 21 percent of the CDU / CSU, followed by the Greens with 14 percent. The Liberal Democrats (FDP) will probably be an important joker and will support about 11 percent of the average vote.
– The Greens will enter government anyway. The Free Democrats will do the same. It seems that there must be a three-party coalition government to achieve a majority. The question is whether the government is led by social democrats or Christian democrats. According to today’s opinion polls, the president of the Norwegian Atlantic Committee, Kate Hanson Bunt, tells Netvision that Olaf Scholes may be the next Social Democrat.
– But it depends on whether he gets an alliance or not. He wants access to greenery. The two parties share a wide range of views on economic policy, climate change, infrastructure and the need for German modernization in digitalization. They acknowledge the minimum, minimum wages and many reforms in housing policy and pension systems, which Bundt says will correct the social inequalities between rich and poor that have grown in recent years.
Also read: The green troll
– But the Social Democrats and the Greens did not get a majority without the Independent Democrats, which is a small business friendly party like the Liberal Party in Norway. They are strongly opposed to higher public spending because these reforms have to cost more. They are a tax-cutting party, Punt says.
Queen of Europe resigns
Angela Merkel has been Queen of Europe for many years and is undoubtedly leaving the vacuum of power in European big politics. He has more experience than any other presidential candidate through years of crisis management with the refugee crisis, the euro crisis, Brexit, Trump and the epidemic.
Merkel’s resignation will also be significant in the EU because she was the most dominant politician in the union. So many ask themselves the question of who assumes leadership responsibility in the EU. Scholes is currently missing Pontus. French President Emmanuel Macron, Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi and European Commission President Ursula van der Leyen are heavy names. For Macron to win, he is dependent on victory in next year’s French election.
Germany is the most populous and strong economy of the European Union, so the German Chancellor will play a key role in European politics in the years to come. This also applies to Norway.
– Germany is very important to Norway. We share the view that there is a need for multilateral organizations with international driving rules based on legal policy. Here, Bunt says, Germany is like a small state like Norway, unlike many other major powers.
– Norway may be too hard on oil and gas policy
With approximately 60 million voters in Germany, it may seem that climate is rising as one of the most important issues. Germany’s next government could put sticks on the wheels of Norway’s gas and oil policy.
– Politically, the road to Norway went through Berlin before we got support in the EU. Economically, Germany is very important to Norway. About 30 percent of German gas consumption comes from Norway. We have an energy community that is very important to Norway. With strong greenery, it will be very difficult to continue Norway’s current oil and gas policy. Green opposes carbon capture and storage, which Norway seeks to promote in the EU. They will have a carbon-free society and will emit less than other parties, and will not have more gas with CO2, but will need more hydrogen gas, Punt says.
– The biggest element of Norway’s uncertainty is how big an impact it will have on green climate policy. No matter how strong they are, it is important whether they rule with Christian Democrats or Social Democrats. He says if the Social Democrats have a traffic light coalition as a strong party, the Greens will have more impact if they rule with the Christian Democrats.
Facts about German parties in the Bundestack
* At present there are 709 delegates in the Bundestack. It is already one of the largest national conventions in the world. The electoral system is likely to grow further after the September 26 election.
* The three parties (CDU, CSU and SPD) are part of the current government coalition. In total, they have 397 delegates.
CDU (Christian Democratic Union of Germany)
Christian Democrats were founded in 1945.
Party Leader: Armin Lashet
Ideology: Christian Democratic, Conservative
The CDU is the party of Prime Minister Angela Merkel. Lachet is the party’s prime ministerial candidate.
Number of delegates: 200
* CSU (Christian Community Union in Bavaria):
CSU is the sister party of the CDU in the state of Bavaria and was founded in 1945.
Chairman: Marcus Soder
Ideology: Christian Democrat, Conservative
Number of delegates: 45
* SPD (Social Democratic Party of Germany):
The Social Democrats are the oldest party in the country and were founded in 1863.
Leaders: Norbert Walter-Borgens, Saskia Esken
Ideology: Social Democracy
Candidate for Prime Minister: Olaf Souls, now Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance in Angela Merkel’s coalition government
Number of delegates: 152
* Alliance 90 / Green:
Greens was founded in 1993 as an association of West German Die Kronen and East German Pontnis 90.
Leaders: Annalena Barbach, Robert Habeck
Ideology: Environment, Green Politics
Candidate for Prime Minister: Annalena Barbach
Number of delegates: 67
* AfD (alternative to Germany):
The alternative to Germany was established in 2013
Skin: Jerk Muthan, Dino Gruballa
Ideology: Nationalist, far-right populism
Number of delegates: 87
* FDP (Free Democratic Party)
The Independent Democrats were founded in 1948
Skin: Christian Lindner
Ideology: Classical liberalism
Number of delegates: 80
The Left was founded in 2007
Skin: John Whistler, Suzanne Hennick-Welso
Ideology: Democratic socialism, external left-wing populism
Number of delegates: 69
(Gilder: NTB: German Bundestock, Wikipedia)
– A rocket in the green shift
The Greens hope that the entry of Greens into the German government will lead to a rapid change in Greens in this country.
This is very good news for the drive for Norwegian Green Change, which provides resources and expertise to grow the fossil business sector. For the three people now sitting on the shores of Lake Hartal, there is a great opportunity to mark the true beginning of the Green Transformation. The upcoming election in Germany could be the most rocket-propelled rocket in this transition, says Rasmus Hansen (MDG), a Member of Parliament for Netavisan. – A German government with greens would lead Germany to become more sluggish to the Norwegian idea that it would supply Germany with a lot of gas in the long run. The EU as a bridge to a non-emission society and at least Germany will weaken the core of the Norwegian strategy that requires Norwegian gas. This will not happen overnight, but will be a new twist on the already weakening, and the Norwegian government and the Norwegian oil and gas interests are doing everything they can to ignore it, Hansen says.
Red-green-red collaboration on the left?
There are speculations about another government alternative on the far left. It is speculated that the SPD and the Greens could enter into government cooperation with Die Linke, the far-left party known as the Red-Green-Red Cooperation (R2G). During the election campaign, the Christian Democrats used the opportunity to increase the risk of the R2G coalition as a possible outcome of the election. Its purpose is to intimidate voters from the SPD. Olaf Scholz, the SPD’s presidential candidate, said he had kept the door open for Die Linke, but analysts said he was using it strategically to strengthen his own bargaining chip. Die Linke is a small party with social democratic shortcomings, socialists and ex-communists. The party is a strong opponent of NATO and EU suspects. In the party plan, DATLinke confirms that they will dissolve NATO and replace the alliance with “joint security cooperation, including Russia.” Although Scholes did not completely rule out the possibility of R2G cooperation, the German daily Tagesspiegel reported that he had made it clear that DieLink would later pledge NATO and Atlantic cooperation.
Facts about elections in Germany
The election for the German Bundestack will take place on Sunday, September 26th.
* There are at least 598 seats in the Bundestack, which are distributed according to the number of eligible voters in the states.
* Similar to the electoral system in the United States and the United Kingdom, 299 members are elected directly from single-member constituencies. 299 members are elected with party lists in the states associated with the Norwegian system.
* In addition, two types of balance order are issued. With 111 orders like this, today’s bandstock is the largest to date.
* Since 1999, the German National Assembly has been destroyed by fire in 1933 in the old Rickstock building.
* On the proposal of the President (now Frank-Walter Steinmeier), Bundestag elects the Prime Minister, who is the Bondeskonsler (Federal Chancellor). Elections require an absolute majority, i.e. a majority among all members, not just voters or non-voters.
* Angela Merkel is Germany’s first female prime minister, but resigned almost 16 years later. This is the first time since World War II that a sitting prime minister has not sought re-election.
* Berlin and Mecklenburg-West Pomerania will also hold elections on September 26.
Source: Wikipedia , NDP
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