November 30, 2022

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War in Ukraine: - - It could become unlivable

War in Ukraine: – – It could become unlivable

Russia targeted energy infrastructure Throughout the war in Ukraine.

For several days in a row, parts of the Ukrainian population had to fend for themselves without gas, water, and electricity after the Russian attacks.

– It will stop working

With the temperature dropping throughout the winter, the consequences could be dire for the Ukrainian population, says Lt. Col. Geir Hagen Carlsen. The country can experience winter temperatures Down to minus 30 degrees.

– It is likely that it will become unlivable in Ukraine if this continues over time. If the electricity and heat are gone, the water will also be gone. Gas stations depend on electricity to pump fuel and a large part of society will cease to function. It is especially challenging in the cities – it has become unlivable there, he told Dagbladet.

The challenge: Geir Hågen Karlsen believes that winter could be difficult if the Ukrainian population had to manage long periods without gas, water and electricity. Photo: Christian Bugehjort/Armed Forces
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Last Monday, about 250 thousand apartments in Kyiv were without electricity. Additionally, 40 percent of households lack water. The next day, the water and electricity supply were restored.

Seven regions of Ukraine experienced planned blackouts on Tuesday, among other things to prevent overloads on the power grid, as well as to facilitate repair of damaged power stations.

Residents of Ukraine have been subject to a number of restrictions in recent weeks, including calls to limit electricity use, particularly during peak hours. Authorities are urging that washing machines and heaters should be used at night.

Filling with water: People lined up to fill water at public water taps in Kyiv after Monday's attack.  Photo: Sam Mednick/AP/NTB

Filling with water: People lined up to fill water at public water taps in Kyiv after Monday’s attack. Photo: Sam Mednick/AP/NTB
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As long as the Russians have enough missiles and drones, they are unlikely to stop attacks on power plants and infrastructure connected to the power grid, Hagen Carlsen believes.

– This is part of the Russian strategy. He adds that they systematically attack the energy supply to infect the civilian population, adding:

The goal is to make the situation so difficult for the population that the Ukrainian government will be pressured to enter into a compromise that will benefit Russia.

Blackout: A 70-year-old woman holds a candle from the window during one of the many blackouts that have hit Ukraine recently.  Photo: Emilio Morenatti/AP/NTB

Blackout: A 70-year-old woman holds a candle from the window during one of the many blackouts that have hit Ukraine recently. Photo: Emilio Morenatti/AP/NTB
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intimidate the population

However, the Russian strategy does not appear to be working, believes retired General Arne Bord Dalhaug, who has been an OSCE observer in eastern Ukraine for three years.

– It is an attempt to terrorize the Ukrainian population so that they no longer have the will to resist, but it does not appear to be a successful strategy, Dagbladet told.

He adds:

A very high percentage believes that the only right thing is to expel the Russians from Ukrainian terrorism. These intense Russian missile attacks contributed to the fact that the West held together to a greater extent. It was a strategy that sounded worse than Putin had hoped, says Dalhaug.

Fail: Retired Lieutenant General Arne Burd Dalhaug believes that the Russian strategy is failing.  Photo: Lars Evind Pons/Dagbladet

Fail: Retired Lieutenant General Arne Burd Dalhaug believes that the Russian strategy is failing. Photo: Lars Evind Pons/Dagbladet
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How do you think winter will be in Ukraine?

It will surely be a harsh winter. This wouldn’t be the first time. But everything indicates that winter is one advantage in most areas militarilysays Dalhaug.

limited quantity

The retired general describes the damage to Ukraine’s infrastructure as “serious,” but stresses that Ukraine’s preparedness is good – especially when it comes to restoring water and electricity supplies.

– I am not saying that this is not a serious matter, especially now that winter is approaching. But I don’t think it’s enough to make much difference. Russia hopes this will tip things in its favour. In addition, we know they have a limited stockpile of weapons that we saw in the Russian attacks, he said.

Iran allegedly supports Russia’s war in Ukraine With so-called kamikaze dronesWhich the Iranians deny. In recent weeks, there have been several reports of Russian arms stockpiles I’m running out.

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