September 28, 2022

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War in Ukraine: - - Lack of confidence in an imminent peace settlement

War in Ukraine: – – Lack of confidence in an imminent peace settlement

I address all European leaders: “Concessions are not necessary sometimes.”

This was stated by Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine Olga Stefanichina SVT When asked yesterday about the demands made by Russia for Ukraine to withdraw its forces.

Yesterday there were more details about Offer of peace agreement Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is said to have received from Russia.

According to Israeli sources Jerusalem Post And ordered the Russian forces to halt the progress until a decision is issued.

Russian demands were that Ukraine agree to the loss of the Donbass region, neutrality, an end to the dream of NATO membership, as well as a shrinking army.

At the same time, it is clear that a possible rejection will lead to a continuation of the war, with consequences for the population.

refugee crisis: More than two million people have been forced to flee Ukraine since Russia invaded the country on February 24. Video: Reuters
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– nothing to say

visa Unnamed well-informed sources quoted what was said in the meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett in Moscow on Saturday.

Deputy Prime Minister Olga Stevanishina believes that every compromise regarding ultimatums will legitimize Putin’s regime – something you cannot agree to. And about Putin, she says:

– I don’t want to talk to him. I have nothing to say to him. I want to see him in the war crimes tribunal in The Hague where he will be responsible for all the dead in this war.

– not impossible

The Russian proposal was considered “difficult, but not impossible,” according to the sources Jerusalem Post.

It’s worse than what Zelensky would have had before the invasion. However, there should not be too much distance between the two parties, writes NTB, who also wrote that Putin allegedly ordered a ceasefire pending Zelensky’s decision.

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Since then, President Volodymyr Zelensky has said he is no longer pushing for Ukraine’s NATO membership, reports say. France Press agency.

He is also said to have been open to “compromising” over the status of Ukraine’s breakaway republics of Donetsk and Luhansk, which President Vladimir Putin recognized as independent before the February 24 invasion.

“I toned down this issue a long time ago, after we understood that … NATO is not ready to accept Ukraine,” Zelensky said in an interview broadcast Monday night on ABC News.

After the president made similar comments to the German newspaper Bild on Wednesday, the price of oil fell by ten dollars in ten minutes, according to reports. Bloomberg.

Loss on both sides

Lieutenant Colonel and Research Leader Turmod Heyer believes that both Russia and Ukraine are in a position to win a peace solution.

– Initially, both parties lost due to losses on both sides, but Ukraine can win that Zelensky’s government will still be able to remain in power, in exchange for a number of restrictions in the way they exercise their foreign and security policy orientations the West, at the same time they are Determined to hand over Crimea and accept more autonomy for the two breakaway republics in the east, Heyer told Dagbladet.

Expert: Research Leader and Lt. Col. Tormod Heyer in the Staff College of the Norwegian Defense College.  Photo: Ole Berg-Rusten / NTB

Expert: Research Leader and Lt. Col. Tormod Heyer in the Staff College of the Norwegian Defense College. Photo: Ole Berg-Rusten / NTB
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If Putin gets the green light for Ukraine to suspend NATO requests, and bilateral defense cooperation with the United States, Putin will be stronger in his goal of being respected as a great power, as well as his claim to an area of ​​special interest beyond its borders. Then he keeps the US and NATO off their doorstep and rebuilds some of Russia’s greatness, damming the base of Western values ​​that threatens to blow Russia up from the inside, the lieutenant colonel continues.

Import ban: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky believes that Russia must abide by international law when it comes to war, otherwise they will have no more money to start new wars.
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– Sit in respect

Based on what we’ve seen from Putin so far, can we trust the promises he might make in the peace talks?

– If he wants to stop … It is difficult to say, but there is no doubt that Ukraine has imposed costs on Russian forces, in addition to massive Western sanctions, these are countermeasures that have stabilized Ukraine and the West. In terms of making further progress, Heyer responds, pointing out that Russia is not at all as rich a country as Putin might want to give the impression of.

Russia ranks 11th in the list of the richest countries in the world, and has a GDP that is in line with Spain. He says they don’t have all the world’s capacity to wage this kind of war in the long run.

Do you believe in a peaceful solution to the conflict soon?

Not very likely, as I see it. Ukraine has proven its ability to resist aggressively. On the other hand, the authorities in Kyiv may fall in the coming days or weeks. Thus, the negotiating position of Ukraine will be worse – so this can affect both ways.

– He made it clear that the situation on the ground will be critical to how strongly the two sides face each other in the negotiations.

What is the significance of Zelensky for the future of Ukraine?

Zelensky received a high star among the people, became an important model in the Ukrainian defensive struggle and for a strong nationalist feeling. Ukrainian nationalist sentiment naturally blossomed after Russia’s attack. The question is whether the Ukrainians will accept any demands from Putin to overthrow Zelensky. Therefore, it is perhaps smart to make some concessions before he and Kiev risk falling, Haier concludes.

Oil prices fell