Shows a bleak future

As world leaders and representatives gather in Dubai for the annual UN climate summit, new analysis shows how cities around the world could be submerged by rising sea levels in the future, if global warming is not halted.

In the Oslo scenario, the National Theater would be surrounded by water, while the Town Hall Square would be entirely underwater.

The analysis shows how parts of central Oslo will be under water, even if the world adheres to the Paris Agreement and limits the temperature rise to two degrees.

Decisions made at the UN Climate Change Conference (COP28) will shape the long-term future of coastal cities on Earth, including Dubai, says Benjamin Strauss, chief scientist and CEO of the Climate Research Group. Central climatewho conducted the analysis.

Below is the National Theater in Oslo. The right side shows sea level as it would be if the global temperature exceeded three degrees, while the left side shows the world as it would appear if its temperature rose by 1.5 degrees, according to the analysis. You can drag the line on the image to compare scenarios.

Passed the target of two grades

Using sea level rise predictions and local elevation measurements from central climate models, the results show visual representations that draw a stark contrast between the world as we know it and our future if the planet warms to 3 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.

New report from Copernicus It shows that the world has now exceeded two degrees of global warming, thus breaking the two-degree target achieved in 1996.

In 2015, more than 190 countries agreed to the Paris Agreement during the Twenty-First Conference of the Parties, to limit global warming to less than 2 degrees Celsius, but preferably 1.5 degrees.

Here’s what Greve Fidel’s place in Oslo would look like, with Akershus Castle in the background, according to the analysis:

– It will become uninhabitable

The continuing increase in greenhouse gas emissions has already led to severe droughts, deadly floods and the rapid melting of glaciers and ice around the world.

Scientists say global sea levels will continue to rise for many decades to come, while temperatures continue to rise.

If the planet warms by 2.9 degrees, coastal communities, low-lying countries and small island states around the world could become completely uninhabitable, according to Strauss.

– Strauss says the survival of these places and their heritage will depend on whether governments and industry leaders can agree to reduce carbon pollution strongly enough and quickly enough to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius.

Below are analytical images of Dubai, where the United Nations Climate Conference is currently being held:

Hottest ever

2023 already looks set to be the hottest year on record, according to a report released Thursday by the World Meteorological Organization.

Each month from June to October sets new global monthly temperature records by a wide margin, while sea temperatures have also reached record levels.

These rising global temperatures are causing glaciers and sea ice to melt at an alarming rate, adding a significant amount of water to Earth’s oceans. Even Antarctica, the most isolated continent on the planet, is now experiencing unprecedented melting events. The melting of some large glaciers is now likely to become inevitable, which could have serious consequences for global sea levels.

Here’s what Stockholm Castle might look like:

800 million could be affected

About 385 million people currently live in areas that will eventually be flooded, even if global warming pollution is reduced significantly, according to Climate Central.

If we limit temperature rise to 1.5 degrees, sea level rise will still affect land areas inhabited by 510 million people today. But if the planet’s temperature exceeds 3 degrees, the high water line could extend to land areas where more than 800 million people live, according to estimates. New study.

But although these scenarios may be centuries away, scientists say that with every bit of warming, the consequences of climate change get worse.

During the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP28), world leaders will discuss how to reduce emissions of global warming greenhouse gases to prevent the growing possibility of an underwater future.

This year’s climate negotiations will be the first time countries have negotiated a new scoreboard showing how far they are straying from their climate goals – and how quickly the window for reducing climate pollution is shrinking.